（术语索引页码为英文原书页码,见本书每页的边码。“数字+f”表示该页图题。“数字 +t”表示该页表题。———译者注）
A
ABI/INFORM,一个世界著名的商业经济管理全文数据库,102
Acampora,Ralph,拉尔弗·阿坎波拉,107
Adaptiveexpectations,适应性预期,69,70
Adjustable-rate mortgages(ARMs),可调利率抵押贷款,211-212
Afghanistan,阿富汗,215
Agriculture,inventionsfor,农业,114
Albania,阿尔巴尼亚,74-75
Allen,Frederick Lewis,弗雷德里克·刘易斯·艾伦,59,112
Allen,Henry,亨利·艾伦,38
Amazon.com,亚马逊网上书店,39,43
American Economic Review ,《美国经济评论》,126,190,193
Ammer,John,约翰·阿默尔,193-194
Amplification mechanisms,放大机制,56-81
Amsterdam real estate market,阿姆斯特丹房地产市场,21
Analysts:efficient markets theory on,分析家:关于……的有效市场理论180,44-47
Andersen,Hans Christian,汉斯·克里斯蒂安·安德森,130
Animal spirits,浮躁情绪,10
Antitrust legislation,反托拉斯法案,111,212,213
Antrecruitment behavior,蚂蚁征募行为,165
Aquino,Corazon,科拉松·阿基诺,137
Argentina,阿根廷,93
ARMs(adjustable-rate mortgages),可调利率抵押贷款,211-212
Asch Solomon,所罗门·阿什,157-158,159
Asian financial crisis,亚洲金融危机,141,213,227
Asian stock market,亚洲股票市场,3
Assetal location,资本分配,64-66
Associated Press,美联社,94,95
Assumable mortgages,可承担的抵押贷款,123
Atlanta Constitution,《亚特兰大宪法报》,96
Atlantic Refining,大西洋炼油公司,97
Attention:inability to explain changes in,注意力:无法解释……的变化,171-172
Attention cascades,一系列注意力连锁反应,91-93,97-98
Atwood,Albert,艾伯特·阿特伍德,126
Australia,澳大利亚,11,134t,215
Austria,奥地利,133t,135t
Authority,obedience to,权威,服从,158 159
Automobile,汽车,112,114,125
B
Baby Boom,生育高峰,33
Banking crises,银行危机,140,141,213,225
Bank of International Settlements(BIS),国际清算银行,15,97
Bank of Japan,日本银行,224
Barber,Brad,布拉德·巴伯,68
Barron’s,《巴伦斯》,93,129
Barron’s Big Money Poll,《巴伦斯》大赢家调查,72
Baruch,Bernard,伯纳德·巴鲁克,120
Basu,Sanjoy,圣乔伊·巴索公司,183
Batra,Ravi,莱维·巴特拉,87
Bear markets,熊市,56,68
Bearraiders,大量抛空者,126
Belgrade,Chinese embassy bombing in,中国驻南联盟使馆被炸,215
Benartzi,Shlomo,什洛莫·本纳兹,48,49,53,219
Binder boys,“临时契约男孩”,121
Bingham,Hiram,海拉姆·宾厄姆,95
Birth control pill,避孕药,41
BIS(Bank of International Settlements),国际清算银行,15,97
Black Monday,黑色星期一,95,96-97
Black Thursday,黑色星期四,96,97,114,225
Bloomberg Television,彭博电视台,43
Blue-sky legislation,蓝天法案,163
Boiler rooms,不诚实的证券公司,163
Bombay real estate market,孟买房地产市场,18
Bonds,债券,65,200,223
Bonham,Raejean,雷吉米·博纳姆,74,75
Boom,Bust & Echo (Foot and Stoff man),《繁荣、萧条和回声》,43
Boomer nomics (Sterling and Waite),《繁荣经济学》,43
Bootle,Roger,罗杰·布特尔,119
Borah,William,威廉·博拉,96
Boston Globe,《波士顿环球报》,107
Boston reale state market,波士顿房地产市场,17,18,19f,21 22,24,27,123 124
Brady,Nicholas,尼古拉斯·布兰迪,100
Brady Commission,布兰迪委员会,100-101
Brain washing techniques,洗脑技术,157-158
Brazil,巴西,3,4f,93
Brennan,Michael,迈克尔·布伦南,227
Bubbles.See Speculative bubbles,泡沫,参见投机性泡沫
Bucket shops,证券投机商品,163
Building costs,建筑成本,12,13f,14,23
Bull market of 1920s,20世纪20年代的牛市,2,5,6,7,184,185,196-197
Bull market of 1950s/1960s,20世纪50—60年代的牛市,5,8,184,185
Bull market of 1990s,20世纪90年代的牛市,2,6,8,40,49,184-185
Bull markets,牛市,87 88,140
Bureau of Labor Statistics,U.S.,美国劳工统计局,119
Bureau of Land Management,U.S.,美国土地管理局,23
Burke,Kenneth,肯尼斯·伯克,127
Burns,Arthur,亚瑟·博尼斯,127
Bush,George W.,乔治·布什,33-34,37,213
Business books,商业书籍,44,113
Business magazines,商业杂志,44,77
Business Week,《商业周刊》,107,118,129
Buy recommendations,买入建议,44
Byrd,Richard,理查德·伯德,94
C
Cable News Network(CNN),有线新闻网,43
CAC-40,CAC-40指数,92-93
Caldwell,Erskine,厄斯金·考德威尔,127
California real estate market,加利福尼亚房地产市场,17,121,122-123,128
Campbell,John,约翰·坎贝尔,186,193 194
Canada,加拿大,11,134t
Cantwell,Robert,罗伯特·肯特威尔,127
Capita lgains,资本利得,24,188
Capita lgains tax,资本利得税,37,55,101,228
Capitalism,资本主义,119,127
Capitalist explosion,市场经济的疾速扩张,33-36
Carnegie,Andrew,安德鲁·卡内基,110
Carnegie Fund,卡内基基金,97
Case,Karl,卡尔·凯斯,21 22,26,34,57,79,123
Casinos,赌场,54
Cassidy,John,约翰·卡西迪,129
Census data,调查数据,21
Center for Industrial Renovation of Kansai,日本关西工业革新中心,92
Chaos theory,混沌理论,71
Chat rooms,聊天室,163-164
Chevalier,Judith,朱迪斯·谢瓦利尔,180
Chicago reale state market,芝加哥房地产市场,22,23
Chicago Tribune,《芝加哥论坛报》,97
Child-custody experiment,儿童监护试验,151-152
Chile,智利,3,133t,135t,136t
China:capitalismin,中国,33
Class-action law suits,集体诉讼,212
Clayt on Antitrust Act of 1914,1914年《克莱顿反托拉斯法案》,111
Clevel and reale state market,克利夫兰房地产市场,17,18f,23
Clinton,William,威廉·克林顿,37
CNBC,美国全国广播公司商业新闻,43
CNN (Cable News Network),有线新闻网,43
CNN fn,金融频道,43
Coca-Cola,可口可乐,151
Cohen,Abby Joseph,阿比·约瑟夫·科恩,88
Cohn,Richard,理查德·科恩,51
Coldwar,endof,冷战,结束,33
Colombia,哥伦比亚,133t,134t,135t,136t
Colorado River,科罗拉多河,23
Commercial and Financial Chronicle,《商业和财经新闻》,115
Communism,共产主义,33,55,127,157-158,213
Community of interest,利益共同体,110-111,126,213
Compound interest,复利,60,62,217
Confidence,信心,130
Connecticut Manufacturer’s Association,康涅狄格制造商协会,94
Conroy,Jack,杰克·康罗伊,127
Constant discountrate,不变的贴现率,190,192
Consumer credit,消费信贷,117
Consumer Price Index(CPI),消费价格指数,2,50,51,222,224
Consumption expenditures,消费支出,190,192
Cooperative movements,合作协议,33,34
Copenhagen real estate market,哥本哈根房地产市场,18
Corporate management,“scientific,”“科学的”公司管理,114
Corporate profits,公司利润,2,3,111,212
Cosmopolitans,世界主义者,104
Council of Economic Advisors,经济顾问委员会,127
Courage to Be Rich,The(Orman),《致富勇气》,62
Craxi,Bettino,贝蒂诺·克拉克西,139
Crime:declinein,犯罪,36
Cuban arms blockade,古巴军事封锁,89
Cultural factors,文化因素,36 37,85-143
Cutler,David,戴维·卡特勒,91,92
D
Dahlberg,Edward,爱德华·达赫伯格,127
Daladier,Edouard,爱德华·达拉第,94
Danko,William,威廉·丹科,61-62
DAX index,DAX指数,1,93
Day-of-the-week effect,星期一现象,189
Day traders,当日交易者,52,180-181
Death of Inflation,The(Bootle),《通货膨胀的终结》,119
De Bondt,Werner,沃纳·德·邦特,142,183
Decision trees,决策树,155
Defined benefit pension plans,固定受益养老金计划,47,220-221,222
Defined contribution pension plans,固定缴费养老金计划,47-49,55
Deflation,通货紧缩,196
De Forest,Lee,李·德福里斯特,113
De Gaulle,Charles,查尔斯·戴高乐,89
Delhi real estate market,德里房地产市场,19
Democratic National Convention of 1952,1952年的民主国民会议,89
Demog raphics,人口统计学,42
Denmark,丹麦,133t,134t
Dent,Harry S.,亨利·S·登特,43
Depressions,萧条,6,7
Deutsch,Morton,莫顿·多伊奇,158
Dewey,John,约翰·杜威,91
Dice,Charles Amos,查尔斯·阿莫斯·戴斯,113-114,196
Digital Equipment Company,数字设备公司,124
Dilbert(comic strip),《呆伯特》,119
Discount brokers,贴现经纪人,52
Diver sification:learning about,多样化:学习,199-202
Dividend present value,股息现值,191f
Dividends,股息,187-188,227-228
Dodd,David,戴维·多德,6
Dornbusch,Rudiger,鲁迪格·多恩布什,95
Dos Passos,John,约翰·多斯·帕素斯,127
Dot-comstocks,网络公司股票
Dow 36000(Glass man and Hassett),《道琼斯36000点》,200
Dow 40000(Elias),《道琼斯40000点》,60-61
Dow Jones Industrial Average,道琼斯工业平均指数,147,149
Dow Jones Internet index,道琼斯网络股指数,128
Down sizing,缩减规模,34,119,212
Dublin reale state market,都柏林房地产市场,18
Due-on-sale clauses,in mortgages,加速偿付抵押贷款,123
Dukakis,Michael,迈克·杜卡齐斯,124
E
Earnings:1871—2004,收益:1871—2004,3f
Earthquake,Kobe,神户大地震,92-93
Economic growth,经济增长,108-109,137
Economic health,经济健康,70
Economist,The,《经济学家》,26,129,233n1
Efficient markets theory,有效市场理论,177-194,195
Ehrlich,Paul,保罗·埃尔利希,127
Eichholtz,Piet,皮耶特·艾可霍兹,21
Eisenhower,Dwight,德怀特·艾森豪威尔,91
Elderly,中年人
Electricity Building,电缆敷设,110E
lectric Tower,电塔,110
Electrification,电气化,112-113
Electrograph,传真机,110
Elias,David,戴维·伊莱亚斯,60-61
Ellison,Glenn,格伦·埃里森,180
Emotions,情感,64-66
“Emperor’s New Clothes,The”(Andersen),《皇帝的新装》,130
Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974,1974年《雇员退休收入保障法案》,50
Enron,安然,76
Environmental standards,环境标准,212,215-216
Envy,羡慕,65
Epidemics,流行,171,212
Equity premium,股权溢价,196
Ethics,道德规范,210-212
Excess-profitstax,超额收益税,111
Excess volatility,过度波动,189-194
Exchange rate crises,汇率危机,140,141,213
Exogenous factors,外生因素,32,92,128,130
Expectations:adaptive,预期:适应性,69,70
Expert opinions,专家意见,65,168,169,228,229
Exports,出口,137
F
Face-to-face communication,面对面交流,161-164
Fair,Ray,雷·费尔,213
Fairness,公平,213-215
Fama,Eugene,尤金·法马,178,183
Fannie Mae,联邦国民抵押贷款协会,26,211
Farrell,James,詹姆斯·法雷尔,127
Federal deficit,联邦赤字,99
Federal Open Market Committee(FOMC),联邦公开市场委员会,40
Federal Reserve,美联储,1,9,45,65,127,186
Fed Model,联邦储备模型,8-9
Feed back systems,反馈系统,56,59,68-73,130,172,208
Feltus,William,威廉·范特斯,90
Fertility rate,人口出生率,41
Fidelity Investments,富达投资集团,184
Figlewski,Stephen,斯蒂芬·菲格莱斯基,183
Financial crises,金融危机,140-141,213,227
Financial News Network,财经新闻网,43
Financial Times,《金融时报》,129
Finland,芬兰,133t,134t,135t,136t
Fischer,Stanley,斯坦利·费希尔,95
Fischhof,Baruch,巴鲁赫·菲施霍夫,152
Fisher,Irving,欧文·费雪,114,116,196
Fixed exchange rate system,固定汇率制,225
Florida reale state market,佛罗里达房地产市场,15,121 122,125
FOMC(Federal Open Market Committee),联邦公开市场委员会,40
Fooled by Randomness(Taleb),《随机漫步的傻瓜》,65
Foot,David K.,戴维·K·福特,43
Ford Foundation,福特基金,217
Foreign Affairs,《外交》,119
Foreign investors:resentment in,外国投资者:怨恨,214;
speculative bubble sand,投机性泡沫和,227
Fortune,《财富》,120
401(k) plans,401(k)计划,33,47-49,65
403(b) plans,403(b)计划,47
France,法国,140
Fraud,欺诈行为,76-77,163
Freddie Mac,联邦住房贷款抵押公司,26,211
Free-rider problem,搭便车问题,169
French,Kenneth,肯尼思·弗伦奇,183
Freud,Sigmund,西格蒙德·弗洛伊德,168
FT-SE 100 index,FT-SE100指数,1,92
Fujimori,Alberto,阿尔贝托·藤森,138
Futures,stock index,期货,股票指数,228
G
Galbraith,John Kenneth,约翰·肯尼思·加尔布雷斯,66-67
Gandhi,Rajiv,拉吉夫·甘地,139
GDP.See Grossdomestic product,国内生产总值
Gerard,Harold,哈罗德·杰勒德,158
Germany,德国,1,93
GI Bill of Rights,《士兵权利法案》,16
Gibson,George,乔治·吉布森,178
GICs(guaranteed investment contracts),担保投资合同,221
Glassman,James,詹姆斯·格拉斯曼,199-200
Globale mission trading scheme,全球贸易扩展计划,215
GNP(Gross national product),国民生产总值,95
Goetzmann,William,威廉·戈兹曼,198
Golden rules for stockmarket,股票市场的黄金法则,62
Goldman,Sachs & Co.,高盛公司,88
Gold standard,金本位制,225
Government deficits,政府赤字,218
Graf Zeppelin,格拉夫·第佩林,94
Graham,Benjamin,本杰明·格雷厄姆,6
Grant,James,詹姆斯·格兰特,45
Granville,Joseph,约瑟夫·格朗维尔,93
Great Boom Ahead,The(Dent),《前程似锦》,43
Great Crash,The:1929(Galbraith),《大崩盘:1929》,66-67
Great Depression,《大萧条》,6,42,95,126-127,134
Great Depression of 1990,The(Batra),《90年代大萧条》,87
Greatest Bull Market in History,The:2003-8(Dent),《2003年8月:历史上最大的牛市》,43
Great Society,“大社会”,117
Green house gases,温室气体,215
Greenspan,Alan,艾伦·格林斯潘,40-41,186
Greenspan put,格林斯潘对策,40-41
Gross domestic product(GDP),国内生产总值,2
Gross national product(GNP),国民生产总值,95
Guaranteed investment contracts(GICs),担保投资合同,221
Guaranty Survey,《格兰特调查》,97
Guaranty Trust Company,格兰特信托公司,97
H
Hamilton,James,詹姆斯·汉密尔顿,44
Hang Seng index,香港恒生指数,1
Hangzhou real estate market,杭州房地产市场,18
Happiness for All(gambling game),百家乐(一种赌博游戏),138
Harvard Business Review,《哈佛商业评论》,107
Harvard University,哈佛大学,44
Hassett,Kevin,凯文·哈西特,199-200
Hastie,Reid,里德·黑斯蒂,150
Hedging,对冲,228-229
Henry,David,戴维·亨利,129
Herd behavior,从众行为,73
Herengracht canal,real estate market along,21 HGTV,家园电视频道,86
High-pressure economics,高压经济政策,127
Holding for the long run,长期持有,199-202
Hold recommendations,建议持有,44
Home price indexes,住宅价格指数,12-13,21,26,122
HongKong,香港,1,3,141
Hoover,Herbert,赫尔伯特·胡佛,94,95,96,97
Housing bubbles,房地产泡沫,15,16,18,26,27,72,121-122,209
Housing cooperative movement,住房合作运动,27
Housing market.See Real estate market,住房市场,参见房地产市场
Hoyt,Homer,霍默·霍伊特,22
Hughes,Langston,兰斯顿·休斯,127
Humphrey,George,乔治·汉弗莱,116
Hungary,匈牙利,89
I
IBM,162
Import quotas,进口配额,212
Income tax,所得税,121
India,印度,139
Individual investors:confidence of,个人投资者:信心,72
Individual Retirement Accounts,个人退休账户,50
Indonesia,印度尼西亚,3,134t
Industrial accidents,工业事故,212
Industry Standard,the,《产业标准》,44
Infection rate,传染率,164,165,166,167,171
Inflation,通货膨胀,2-3,196,197
Information,信息,157-159
Information cascades,信息层叠,159-160
Information processing,信息处理,160-161
Information technology,信息技术,33,37-40
Inheritance tax,遗产税,121
Initial public offerings,首次公开发行,183
Institutional investors,机构投资者,32-33
Interactive communication,交互式沟通,163-164
Interest rates,利率,8-9,31-32
Internal Revenue Service,美国国税局,47
International Acceptance Bank,国际承兑银行,115
International Center for Finance,Yale University,耶鲁大学金融学国际研究中心,57,72
International Data Corporation,国际数据公司,164
Internet,互联网,55,87,116,119,120,124,125,214
Internet firms,网络公司,77
Internet stocks,网络股,128-129,130,181
Interstate Commerce Commission,州际商业委员会,94
Intuitive judgment,直觉判断,152-155
Investment banks/bankers,投资银行/投资银行家,45,46-47,77
Investment clubs,投资俱乐部,67-68
Investment Company Act of 1940,1940年《投资公司法案》,50
Investment trusts:loss of confidence in,投资信托:失去信心,49-50
Iraq,伊拉克,138,215
Ireland,爱尔兰,11
Irrational exuberance,非理性繁荣,31,33,63,107,140,172-173,186,210,218,230
Irrational Exuberance(Shiller,first edition),《非理性繁荣》,129
Istanbul real estate market,伊斯坦布尔房地产市场,18
Italy,意大利,11,133t,134t,136t,139-140
J
Jamaica,牙买加,133t,134t,135t,136t
January effect,1月现象,189
Japan,日本,1,138,141,227
Johnson,Lyndon,林登·约翰逊,7,117
Jorion,Philippe,菲利浦·若里翁,198
Journal of Finance,《金融学杂志》,182
Jurors,decision making processin,陪审员,在决策制定程序中,150
Justification,证实,150,151
K
Kahneman,Daniel,丹尼尔·卡尼曼,148,154
Kennedy,John,约翰·肯尼迪,7,51,89,117,127
Keynes,John Maynard,约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯,10
Khrushchev,Nikita,尼基塔·赫鲁晓夫,89
Khurana,Rakesh,拉凯什·库拉纳,77
Kindleberger,Charles,查尔斯·金德尔伯格,76
Kirman,Alan,艾伦·克尔曼,165
Kobe earthquake,神户地震,92-93
Korea,韩国,141
Korean War,朝鲜战争,89
Kosovo,科索沃,215
Krugman,Paul,保罗·克鲁格曼,107,129
Kuhn Loeb,库恩·洛布,112
Kuwait,科威特,138
Kyoto Protocol,《京都议定书》,215
L
Labor Department,U.S.,美国劳工局,221
Labor productivity,劳动生产力,119-120,212
Labor unions,工会,33,34,47,119,212
Ladies’Home Journal,《妇女家庭杂志》,61
Lange,Oscar,奥斯卡·兰格,126
Large-capstocks,大盘股,129
LasVegas real estate market,拉斯韦加斯房地产市场,18,23
Latin America,拉丁美洲,3
Lawrence,Joseph,约瑟夫·劳伦斯,178
Lebanon,黎巴嫩,89
Lefevre,Edwin,埃德温·莱富勒,112
Leland,Hayne,海恩·莱兰,101
Leonardo da Vinci,列奥纳多·达·芬奇,167-168
LeRoy,Stephen,斯蒂芬·勒罗伊,190
Lichtenstein,Sarah,萨拉·利希滕施泰因,152
Life expectancy,平均寿命,218
Life with Father(Day),《和父亲一起生活》,163
Logistic curve,逻辑曲线,164
London real estate market,伦敦房地产市场,18,19f,24,104,108,124
London stock exchange,伦敦证券交易所,1,92
Long Term Capital Management,长期资本管理公司,40,193
LosAngeles real estate market,洛杉矶房地产市场,17,18f,24,121
LosAngeles Times,《洛杉矶时报》,127
Lotteries,彩票,53,54,153
Lotus Development Corporation,莲花开发公司,124,162
Louisiana lottery,路易斯安那州彩票,53
Luxembourg,卢森堡公国,133t
Lynch,Peter,彼得·林奇,184
M
MacKinley,William,威廉·麦金利,111
MacNeil/Lehrer News Hour(television program),迈克尼尔/莱勒“新闻一小时”,87
Macro economic risk,宏观经济风险,119
Madrid reale state market,马德里房地产市场,18
Magical thinking,异想天开,153
Maier,N.R.F.,N.R.F.梅尔,172
Malaysia,马来西亚,3
Managed capitalism,受管制的资本主义,119
Managerial revolutions,管理革命,119
Mandel,Michael,迈克尔·曼德尔,118
Manias,Panics and Crashes(Kindle-berger),《疯狂、惊恐和崩溃》,76
Marconi,Guglielmo,古列尔莫·马尔科尼,109
Marcos,Ferdinand,费迪南德·马科斯,137
Marsh,Terry,特里·马什,193
Martin,William McChesney,威廉·麦克切斯尼·马丁,225-226
Massachusetts Instituteof Technology(MIT),麻省理工学院,76
Massachusetts Investors Trust,麻省投资者信托基金,49
Master-charting,管理巨人图表,114
Materialistic values,唯物主义价值观,36,55,66
Media,媒体,9,63-64,85-105,109,132,166,171,172,229
Mehta,Harshad(“Big Bull”),哈沙德·梅赫塔,139
Mehta Peak,梅赫塔高峰,139
Meksi,Aleksander,亚历山大·迈克斯,75
Melbourne real estate market,墨尔本房地产市场,18
Meltzer,Allan,艾伦·梅尔策,95
Merger movement,兼并协议,110,114
Merton,Robert,罗伯特·默顿,104,193
Mexico,墨西哥,3,4f,135t,140-141
Miami real estate market,迈阿密房地产市场,17,18f,121
Microsoft,微软公司,214
Milgram,Stanley,斯坦利·米尔格朗,158-159
Millennium boom,新千年繁荣,4
Miller,Edward,爱德华·米勒,182
Miller,Merton,默顿·米勒,189
Millionaire Next Door,The(Stanley and Danko),《邻家的百万富翁:美国财富的惊人秘密》,61-62,152
Milwaukee real estate market,密尔沃基房地产市场,17,18f,23,24,27,58
Mispricing:examples of obvious,错误定价:明显的例子,181-182
MIT(Massachusetts Institute of Technology),麻省理工学院,76
Mitterrand,Francois,弗朗索瓦·密特朗,140
Modigliani,Franco,弗朗哥·莫迪格里安尼,51
MonaLisa(Painting),蒙娜丽莎,167-168
Monetary policy:consequences of erratic,货币政策:摇摆不定的结果,212
Monetary Policy Report,《货币政策报告》,8
Money illusion,货币幻觉,33,50-52
Money managers,货币管理当局,72,180
Moody,John,约翰·穆迪,113
Moody’s Investors Service,穆迪投资者服务公司,113
Moral anchors,道德定位,148,149-152
Moral authority,道德权威,210
Moral hazard problems,道德风险问题,25
Morgan,J.P.,J.P.摩根投资银行,112,225
Mortgage Bankers Association,美国抵押银行协会,210-211
Mortgages,抵押,36
Mosaic Web browser,Mosaic网络浏览器,38
Moscow real estate market,莫斯科房地产市场,18,19f
Movies,电影,113,167
Mussolini,Benito,贝尼托·墨索里尼,94
Mutual funds,共同基金,180
N
NAIC(National Association of Investors Corporation),全国投资者企业协会,67
NASDAQ,纳斯达克,38,41,52,181
National Association of Investors Corporation(NAIC),全国投资者企业协会,67
National Association of Real Estate Boards,全美房地产协会,26
National Broadcasting Company,全国广播公司,113
National debt,国债,99
National Real Estate Investors Association(NREIA),美国国家不动产投资协会,68
Natural disasters,自然灾害,212
Natural resources,天然资源,127
Nazism,纳粹主义,127,158
Negative bubbles,负泡沫,71,97,99-100,137
Negative equity,负资产,15
Netherlands,荷兰,135t
New era economic thinking,新时代经济思想,106-131,226
New Level sinthe Stock Market(Dice),《股市创新高》,113-114
News media.See Media,新闻媒体,参见媒体Newspapers,报纸,85
News week,《新闻周刊》,115,116,118,129
New York Daily Tribune,《纽约日评》,110-111
New Yorker,《纽约客》,129
New York Herald Tribune,《纽约先驱论坛报》,197
New York real estate market,纽约房地产市场,18
New York Stock Exchange,纽约证券交易所,48,49,52,182,226
New York Times,《纽约时报》,62,94,95-96,97,115,127,129
New Zealand,新西兰,11
Niederhoffer,Victor,维克托·尼德霍夫,89,91
Nikkei index,日经指数,1,59,92,227
9 Steps to Financial Freedom,the(Orman),《金融自由九步法》,62
Niquet,Bernd,伯恩德·尼凯,62
No Fear of the Next Crash(Niquet),《不必担心下一次崩盘:为何股市是长期投资的绝佳场所》,62
Nominal interest rates,名义利率,51
Nominal returns,名义收入,51
Nonconsequentialist reasoning,非连贯推理过程,155-156
North American Free Trade Agreement,《北美自由贸易协议》,141
Northeast U.S.real estate market,美国东北部房地产市场,122,123,124
Northern Securities Company,北方证券公司,111
Norway,挪威,11,134t,135t,136t
NREIA(National Real Estate Investors Association),美国国家房地产投资者协会,68
O
Odean,Terrance,特伦斯·奥迪恩,68
Office of Housing Enterprise Oversight(OFHEO),U.S.,美国联邦住房企业监督办公室,26
OFHEO(Office of Housingent erprise Oversight),美国联邦住房企业监督办公室,26
Okun,Arthur,亚瑟·奥肯,127
Online trading,网上交易,52-53,55,68
Only Yesterday(Allen),《恍然如昨》,59,112
Optimism:of analysts’forecasts,乐观主义:分析家的预测,44-47
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development,经济合作与发展组织,141
Orman,Suze,苏泽·奥曼,62
Overconfidence,过度自信,152-155,159
Ownership society,业主社会,33-36,122-123
P
Paine Webber/Gallup index,佩因·韦伯/盖洛普民意测验,64
Pakistan,巴基斯坦,134t,136t
Pan-American Exposition,泛美博览会,109-110,111
Paris real estate market,巴黎房地产市场,18,19f,22,104,108
Paris Stock Exchange,巴黎证券交易所,93
Parker,Richard,理查德·帕克,44
Parmalat,帕玛拉特,76
Pennington,Nancy,南希·彭宁顿,150
Pension plans,养老金计划
Per capita consumption expenditures,人均消费支出,190,192
Per capita national income,人均国民收入,21,222,224
Perez,Carlos Andres,卡洛斯·安德烈斯·佩雷斯,138
Persian Gulf Oil,海湾石油,138
Persian Gulf War,海湾战争,43,215
Personal computers,个人电脑,38,124
Peru,秘鲁,133t,135t,138-139
Pesocrisis,比索危机,140-141
Pheromone recruitment,动物利用气味募集同伴,165
Philippines,菲律宾,133t,134t,135t,136-137
Phillipscurve,菲利普斯曲线,65
Phoenix real estate market,菲尼克斯房地产市场,17,18f,23,27
Poland,波兰,89
Ponzi,Charles,查尔斯·蓬齐,36-37
Ponzi schemes,蓬齐骗局,49,172
Population Bomb,The(Ehrlich),《人口爆炸》,127
Porter,Richard,理查德·波特,190
Portfolio insurance,投资组合保险,101-102,103
Portugal,葡萄牙,133t,135t,136t
Posen,Adam,亚当·波森,41
Poterba,James,詹姆斯·波巴特,91,92
Pound,John,约翰·庞德,161,171
Prechter,Robert,罗伯特·普雷切尔,98
Precipitating factors,诱发因素,31-55
Price-earnings ratios,市盈率,26,68,99,171,195,213
Price-insensitive selling,对价格不敏感的出售,100
Price-to-book value,股价与账面价值比率,183
Price-to-GDP-to-price feed back,价格—GDP—价格反馈,70
Price-to-price feed back,价格—价格反馈,70,103,120Princeton University,普林斯顿大学,178
Privatization,私有化,119
Professional standards,职业标准,210-212
Prohibition,禁酒,54,114-115
Property Ladder(television program),“财富阶梯”(电视节目),86
Proposition 13,122
Prudential Securities,培基证券公司,107
Psychological anchors,心理定位,147-156
Psychological factors,心理因素,1,126,143,147-173
Q
Quantitative anchors,数量定位,148-149
Quasi-magical thinking,准异想天开,153
Questionnaire surveys,问卷调查
R
Radio,收音机,109,113,115
Radio stations,电台,113
Rail roads,铁路,121,126
Randomness,71,165
Random walks,随机游走,14,177,178-179,201
Reader’s Guide to Periodical Literature,《期刊论文读者指南》,67
Reagan,Ronald,罗纳德·里根,36,100,123,128
Real estate investment trusts,房地产投资信托基金,149
Real estate market,房地产市场,10,31,32,65,168,194,207-208
Reale statemyth,房地产神话,23
Recessions,衰退,192-193
Record overload,创纪录过量,88
Red Herring,《红鲱鱼》,44
Reed,David,戴维·里德,95-96
Regret,悔恨,61,65,66
Regulation FD,《公正披露规定》,46
Removal rate,退出率,164,165,166,167
Rent control,租金管制,26-27
Representative nessheuristic,代表性启发,154
Republican party,共和党,36-37,55
Resentment,213-215
Restructuring,重组,119
Retirement annuities,退休年金,222
Retirement plans,退休计划,34,217,218
Ritter,Jay,杰伊·里特,183
Road to Financial Freedom:A Millionaire in Seven Years,《金融自由之路:7年成为百万富翁》,62
Roaring 2000s:Building the Wealth & Lifestyle You Desire in the Greatest Boomin History,the,《火暴的2000年:在空前昌盛下构造理想财富与生活方式》,43
Roaring 2000s Investor:Strategies for the Life You Want,the,《21世纪的投资者:追求理想生活的战略》,43
Rochdale Society of Equitable Pioneers,罗奇代尔公平先锋社,34
Rockefeller,John D.,约翰·D·洛克菲勒,225
Rome real estate market,罗马房地产市场,18
Roosevelt,Franklin,富兰克林·罗斯福,16
Roosevelt,Theodore,西奥多·罗斯福,111
Roper-Starch surveys,罗帕 斯塔奇调查,36
Rostenkowski,Dan,丹·罗斯滕科斯基,101
Rubinstein,Mark,马克·鲁宾斯坦,101
Rule 80 B,of New York Stock Exchange,纽约证券交易所80B号规定,226
S
Salinas government,萨利纳斯政府,141
SanDiego real estate market,圣地亚哥房地产市场,18,121
SanFrancisco real estate market,旧金山房地产市场,58,128
San Jose,圣·荷西,128
SantaBarbara real estate market,圣巴巴拉房地产市场,121
SantaFe Railroad,圣达菲铁路,121
Sarbanes-Oxley Bill,《萨班斯 奥克斯利法案》,46
Saroyan,William,威廉·萨罗扬,127
SAT(Scholastic Aptitude Test),学习能力测试,180
Saturday Evening Post,《星期六晚邮报》,126
Save More Tomorrow (SMT) plan,“明天储存更多”计划,219
Savings rates:Baby Boom and,储蓄率:生育高峰与,42
Sch.fer,Bodo,博多·谢弗,62
Scholastic Aptitude Test(SAT),学习能力测试,180
Searching for a Corporate Savior(Khurana),《寻找公司的救世主》,77
Securities Act of 1933,1933年《证券法》,163
Securities and Exchange Commission(SEC),证券交易委员会,46-47,52,161-162,171
Securities Exchange Act of 1934,1934年《证券交易法》,163
Seoul,capture of,汉城,被占领,89
Servicemen’s Readjustment Act of 1944(GIBill of Rights),1944年《士兵权利法案》,16
Shafir,Eldar,埃尔德·沙菲尔,151,155
Shanghai real estate market,上海房地产市场,18,19f
Sharpe,Steven,史蒂文·夏普,45-46
Sherman Antitrust Act of 1890,1890《年谢尔曼反托拉斯法案》,111
Shining Path,“光明之路”,138
Shorenstein Center,Harvard University,哈佛大学谢伦斯得恩中心,44
Short sales,卖空,126,182-183,226,228
Siegel,Jeremy,杰里米·西格尔,129,196,197
Silicon Valley,硅谷,124,128
Silly putty economy,弹性橡皮泥经济,88
Simonson,Itamar,伊塔马尔·西蒙森,151
Simpson,O.J.(trial of),辛普森,43
Singapore,新加坡,3
Singh,Manmohan,曼莫汉·辛格,139
Slovic,Paul,保罗·斯洛维奇,152
Small-firmeffect,小公司现象,189
Small Order Execution System,小额委托执行系统,52
Smart money,精明的投资,14,178-181
Smith,Edgar Lawrence,埃德加·劳伦斯·史密斯,196
Smoot,Reed,里德·斯穆特,96
Smoot-Hawley tariff,《斯穆特哈雷关税法案》,95-96
SMT(Save More Tomorrow)plan,“明天储存更多”计划,219
Social influence,社会影响,157-159,208
Socialism,社会主义,33,213
Social Security,社会保障,217
South Africa,南非,11,134t,136t
South Korea,韩国,3
Soviet Union,break up of,苏联,解体,33
Spaceprogram,空间计划,117
Spain,西班牙,11,133t,134t,135t,136t
Speculative bubbles,投机性泡沫,160,188,194,208
Stagflation,滞胀,127
Standard and Poor’s(S&P)Composite Stock Price Index,标准普尔综合股价指数,61,187,188
Standard and Poor’s(S&P)500 Index,标准普尔500指数,35,45
Standard and Poor’s(S&P)500S trips,标准普尔500股息指数,227-228
Standard Oil,标准石油公司,112
Stanley,Thomas,托马斯·斯坦利,61-62
Sterling,William,威廉·斯特林,43
Stock analysts证券分析师
Stock index futures,股票指数期货,228
Stock Market Crash—and After,The(Fisher),《股市危机及其影响》,114
Stock market crash of 1907,1907年股市崩盘,112,225Stock market crash of 1929,1929年股市崩盘,5,61,87,120,226
Stock market crash of 1973-1974,1973—1974年股市崩盘,5,57,184
Stock market crash of 1987,1987年股市崩盘,27,40,94,149,154 155,162,196,226
Stock market peak of 1901,1901年股市高峰,7,185,213
Stock market peak of 1929,1929年股市高峰,6,7
Stock market peak of 1966,1966年股市高峰,7-8,59
Stock market peak of 2000,2000年股市高峰,4,6,7,9,128,129-130,187,196,207
Stock Market sof London,Paris and New York,The(Gibson),《伦敦、巴黎和纽约的股市》,178
Stock options,股票期权,35
Stock price indexes,股票价格指数,33,194
Stocks for the Long Run(Siegel),《股票的长期走势》,196,197
Stoffman,Daniel,丹尼尔·施托夫曼,43
Structural factors,结构因素,31-81
Suez crisis,苏伊士危机,89
Summers,Lawrence,劳伦斯·萨默斯,91,92
Supply and demand,需求和供给,72,207
Survey data:on confidence,调查数据:关于信任,57-59
Suze Orman Show,The(television program),“苏泽·奥曼秀”(电视节目),62
Sweden,瑞典,133t,134t,135t Sydney real estate market,悉尼房地产市场,18,19f,24,104,108
T
Ta ChiaLe(gambling game),百家乐(一种赌博游戏),138
Tag-along news,尾随新闻,89-90
Taiwan,台湾,133t,134t,135t,137-138,141,180-181
Taleb,Nassim,纳齐姆·塔利布,65
Talkies,有声电影,113
Tandem recruitment,募集,165
Tariffs,关税,95-96,212
Taxes,税,99
Technology,科技,198
Telephone:cell,电话,38,124
Television,电视,38,115-116,162-163
Terrorism,恐怖主义,212
Thailand,泰国,133t,134t,135t,136t,141
Thaler,Richard,理查德·泰勒,48,49,53,142,183,219
Thatcher,Margaret,玛格丽特·撒切尔,122
Tianjin real estate market,天津房地产市场,18
Time,《时代》,93,118
Tokai research and Consulting,Inc.,东海研究咨询公司,92
Tokyo real estate market,东京房地产市场,19
Tokyo Stock Exchange,东京证券交易所,92
Trade deficit,贸易赤字,100-101
Transmission errors,传播错误,166
Truman,Harry,哈里·杜鲁门,91
Trusts,信托,110
Tulip mania,郁金香热,21,85
Turn over rate,股票换手率,52
Tversky,Amos,阿莫斯·特韦尔斯基,148,151,154,155
Twenty-four hour trading,当日交易,52-53
U
UBS Index of Investor Optimism,瑞士银行投资者信心指数,64
Unemployment,失业,16,127,138
Union Pacific Rail road,太平洋联合铁路,121
United Airlines,联合航空,90
United Kingdom,英国,86,122
United Nations Intergovernmental Panelon Climate Change,联合国政府间气候变化专门小组,215
United News,合众社,95,96
University of Amsterdam,阿姆斯特丹大学,21
University of California at Berkeley,加州大学伯克利分校,89,101
University of Chicago,芝加哥大学,126,178
University of New Orleans,新奥尔良大学,182
University of Rochester,罗切斯特大学,217
Unlearning,忘却,202-203
Uptick rule,for short sales,证券提价交易规则,226
USA Today ,《今日美国》,127-128,129
U.S.A.Weekend,《美国周末》,61
U.S.Newsand World Report,《美国新闻与世界报道》,115
U.S.Steel,美国钢铁公司,94,110
V
Vallee,Rudy,鲁迪·瓦利,113
Valuation confidence index,估值信心指数,72,73f
Value investing,价值投资,183-184
Vancouver real estate market,温哥华房地产市场,18,19f
VanStrum,Kenneth,肯尼思·范·斯特鲁姆,196
Vasari,Giorgio,乔治奥·瓦萨里,167
Venezuela,委内瑞拉,133t,136t,138
Video conferencing systems,视频会议系统,164,166
Vietnam War,越南战争,197
Volatility,波动性,149,163,207-230
Vortex effect,旋涡效应,139
W
Waite,Stephen,斯蒂芬·韦特,43
Wall Street Journal,《华尔街日报》,93,94,96-97,102,129,199
Wanniski,Jude,朱迪·万尼斯基,95
Warburg,Paul M.,保罗·沃伯格,115
Washington,D.C.real estate market,华盛顿特区房地产市场,18
Washington Post,《华盛顿邮报》,38,127
Watson,James,詹姆斯·沃森,96
Wealth effect,财富效应,70
Weather problems,气候问题,212
Weber,Steven,史蒂文·韦伯,119
Wheel of fortune,幸运轮,148-149
Whitel ies,善意的谎言,76-77
Willoughby,Jack,杰克·维拉夫拜,129
Wishfulthinking bias,如意算盘偏差,58
Word-of-mouth communication,口头交流,108,160-161,162,171,227
World War Ⅰ,第一次世界大战,121,197
WorldWar Ⅱ,第二次世界大战,41,42,115,184,197
World Wide Web,万维网,38,214
Y
Yale School of Management,耶鲁管理学院,62
Yale University,耶鲁大学,114,138
Yen,日元,224
Y2K bug,千年虫,40,169,212
Z
Zacks Investment Research,扎克斯投资研究中心,44
Zealots,狂热者,182,184
Zeroera,零通胀时代,119
